The situation in Gaza remains tense, with continued Israeli military operations casting a shadow over the prospects of a second phase of the ceasefire agreement. Recent developments, particularly a meeting between US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, have fueled both hope and skepticism. While expectations were high regarding a clear pathway to implementing the next stage of the deal, the outcome appears far more ambiguous, with analysts questioning whether the political will truly exists. The core issue currently dominating discussions is the future of اتفاق غزة (Gaza Agreement), its potential implementation, and the controversial demand for disarming Hamas.
تطورات مفاوضات اتفاق غزة بعد لقاء ترامب ونتنياهو (Developments in Gaza Agreement Negotiations After Trump & Netanyahu Meeting)
The anticipation surrounding the Trump-Netanyahu meeting stemmed from a desire for a decisive push towards a comprehensive resolution. However, according to sources and analysts, the meeting did not yield the breakthrough many had hoped for. Netanyahu reportedly returned to Israel with a renewed commitment to his own conditions and presented further threats to Palestinians. This contrasts sharply with the efforts to secure a durable peace deal. Meanwhile, Israeli forces continued demolishing homes and civilian infrastructure along the Gaza border, directly contradicting the spirit of a ceasefire.
Mark Feivel, former US National Security Advisor, characterized the meeting as unproductive. He stated that the discussions, which reportedly centered around three undisclosed topics, did not translate into tangible progress toward implementing the second phase of the اتفاق غزة. Feivel believes the US administration has effectively given Israel a free hand in operating within Gaza, making a swift transition to the next stage of the agreement less likely.
قضية نزع سلاح حماس: عقبات وتحديات (The Disarmament of Hamas: Obstacles and Challenges)
A central point of contention remains the disarmament of Hamas. Both Trump and Netanyahu raised the issue, but without outlining a concrete plan for achieving it. This lack of specificity is seen as a major obstacle by observers like Feivel. He highlighted the need for a more nuanced discussion on how to disarm Hamas, arguing that it’s a prerequisite for any gradual Israeli withdrawal from the Strip.
However, the feasibility of fully disarming Hamas is heavily debated. Mohannad Mustafa, an expert on Israeli affairs, suggests that Netanyahu secured a guarantee from Trump preventing an Israeli withdrawal even if the second phase of the اتفاق غزة were to begin. This signifies a perceived American “understanding” allowing Israel to pursue military operations against Hamas and Palestinians more broadly. Mustafa adds that current Israeli violations of the ceasefire, particularly targeting infrastructure east of the ‘yellow line’, are designed to maintain pressure and potentially redefine the conditions for implementing the agreement.
تصعيد إسرائيلي بعد تسليم الأسرى: رسائل متبادلة (Israeli Escalation After Prisoner Release: Exchange of Messages)
The intensification of Israeli military activity coincides with the release of Israeli prisoners by Hamas. Mustafa postulates that the escalation began after the prisoner releases, suggesting Israel is unwilling to de-escalate despite Hamas meeting its initial obligations. He further predicts that Israel won’t withdraw its forces from Gaza before the upcoming Israeli elections, emphasizing the domestic political calculations driving the situation.
The tone is one of escalating expectations from the Israeli side, with a clear message of continued pressure. According to Israel Hayom, US and Israeli officials have established a two-month deadline for disarming Hamas, stating that “the ball will return to Israel and the army” if the deadline is missed. This reveals the pressure tactics being employed and casts doubt on a genuine commitment to a negotiated solution.
دور القوة الدولية المحتملة ومستقبل المفاوضات (The Role of a Potential International Force and the Future of Negotiations)
Adding another layer of complexity is the proposed deployment of an international force to Gaza as part of the American plan. However, Ibrahim Freihat, a professor of international conflict at the Doha Institute for Graduate Studies, casts doubt on the force’s ability to effectively disarm Hamas. He notes a “red line” against direct involvement in disarmament efforts.
Freihat believes that Trump provided Netanyahu with the assurances he wanted to hear, including support for disarming Hamas. However, he cautions that political realities on the ground – specifically discussions regarding the formation of a technocratic government in Palestine with the involvement of the Palestinian Authority – do not align with the outcomes of the meeting. These internal Palestinian talks could introduce new dynamics into the اتفاق غزة process. Moreover, concerns remain regarding whether the US fully comprehends the complexities of achieving genuine and lasting disarmament within the current context.
Ultimately, the future of the اتفاق غزة hangs precariously in the balance. The continued Israeli military operations, coupled with the lack of a clear and agreed-upon mechanism for disarmament, suggest a protracted period of uncertainty. While the recent meeting between Trump and Netanyahu aimed to provide direction, it appears to have reinforced existing divisions and heightened the risk of further escalation. Understanding these dynamics – and the underlying political motivations – is crucial for analyzing the current impasse and for advocating for a just and sustainable resolution that prioritizes the safety and well-being of all Palestinians and Israelis. Continued monitoring of developments, engagement with relevant analysis, and pressure on both sides to return to good faith negotiations are crucial steps in preventing a further deterioration of the situation.
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Secondary Keywords: “نزع سلاح حماس (Disarmament of Hamas)”, “المفاوضات الفلسطينية الإسرائيلية (Palestinian-Israeli Negotiations)”.
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